Beware: Hot Stocks are Usually Not
Ever get a hot stock tip? Usually a bad idea. Think about it . . . when are you getting the information? Before or after the "smart" money?
There is an old saying about poker that is appropriate here-- in the first few minutes of the game, if you can't figure out who the sucker is-- it's you! The odds of you winning in a hot stock tip are slim. If you want to invest in a stock you have to do your homework, here is what you should know about a company:
- Revenues (Sales) on the rise? How do they compare to similar companies?
- Expenses rising slower than sales?
- Profits on the rise? How do they compare to other companies in the industry?
- How is the balance sheet? Assets invested in income producing activities? Liabilities look normal? To answer these questions you need to look at similar businesses.
- How about the cash flow statements? Is most of the cash flow coming from operating activities?
- What does management look like? Are they experienced? Have they had success with other companies?
- What about the companies products or services-- are they top notch? Unique?
- What is the company's marketshare?
- Are there barriers to entry into the company's markets?
I could go on and on here. There are literally about 200 more questions that could and should be asked-- I am over simplifying here, but the point is that few people know how to look at a company as an investment and hot tips are usually losers. Next time someone gives you a hot tip ask them some of the above questions-- they more than likely won't have the answers . . .
Most non-professional investors are better served by some form of professional management, and for small investors that usually means mutual funds. Where a small investor gets "professional" management, instant diversification, and a chance at stock market returns.


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